Becoming a successful trader is about testing different strategies and figuring out what works best for you. So many books and courses are out there that promise huge profits. The truth is, trading is a high-risk activity, even for seasoned pros. That’s why you should only trade with money you have set aside for this type of investing. Our main approach focuses on price action. Price action is all about letting price movement be the lead indicator instead of some complicated analysis or lagging Bollinger Band system.
Day Trade to Win uses price action as a primary driver of decision making. In a given moment, a trader has to interpret multiple values. Should I stay in this trade? Should I get out early at a smaller profit, a loss, or breakeven? Is there a trade present? Does my other trading method confirm the direction of this trading method? How many contracts should I put on this trade? If I lose this trade, should I attempt to place another or call it a day? These are all questions that run through the minds of intraday futures traders.
Having objective rules simplifies the decision-making process. You have to make the right decision. Having a retail trading robot tweaked to how you, as a human trader, would respond, is probably not going to happen. Also, you may not know anyone who will let you in the door to be part of their high-frequency trading system within the CME building. You’ve got to figure out what’s in your control and what you can rely on. That’s why price action is preferred. Have a plan through a day trading course like those offered at DayTradeToWin.com.
Here’s a question that may confuse you at first: what do you not know that you do not know about trading? The unknown may be your biggest downfall. In this two-part video series, John Paul from DayTradeToWin.com endeavors to clarify common trading misconceptions. The general approach is price action. This means letting a chart’s price movement tell you when and how to trade.
By using the ATR (Average True Range) as an indicator for volatility, profit target, and stop loss, you can mitigate some risk. How? The ATR with a period setting of four gives you a picture of the average price variation for the last 20 minutes when a five-minute chart is in use. If you use this value to determine each trade’s win and loss settings (profit target and stop loss), you can mitigate some risk compared to those traders who use large, fixed values. We prefer an adaptable approach because price is always shifting. Tune in to the first video at 5:50 for an explanation in conjunction with the Trade Scalper. If the ATR is above five points, that’s considered too fast. If below one point, that’s considered too slow. There are exceptions and ways to trade really volatile conditions. Those approaches have been shared in recent videos.
Do you know how to quickly measure the points and ticks between two points on the chart? NinjaTrader 8’s ruler tool is useful. Select it from the drawing drop-down (click the pencil at the top of the chart). Next, you’ll need to click three points on the chart. The first is the start point. The next is the end point. The last is the point at which you want the measurement to display. Practice by measuring the distance between candles. You can quickly determine price ranges this way.
DayTradeToWin offers a free trading news indicator. News events can take a trader by surprising and plunge them into big loss territory in a jiffy. Wouldn’t it be better to know when a planned news event is going to happen so you can stay out of the market? The news indicator plots upcoming, scheduled news events directly on the chart. You can customize the number of displayed events. You may want to change it to five or so as the default value can take up much vertical space with overlap.
John Paul expects the E-mini S&P 500 to go up overall during the remainder of 2020. He explains how to find long (buy) opportunities once price exceeds a specific 50% level. He explains later how this long bias can be used intraday in combination with other signals, such as those from the Atlas Line and Trade Scalper. Use a daily chart to see recent highs and lows. You can configure the Fibonacci tool to draw three horizontal lines. The middle line is the 50% line. Look for retracements above the 50% mark to previous highs. Watch for situations where the market may stagnate or pause for one or more months on approach to higher levels. The specific midpoint value is defined as 2,782.
First, take a look at the Atlas Line price action indicator for the NinjaTrader 8 trading platform. The line itself is pink. In this case, it’s used on a 1-minute chart. On this particular day, the E-mini’s price action caused the Atlas Line to give two main signals: a Long and a Short. John Paul draws a box around the short signal. The indicator can be used as a long-term directional tool. Notice how price stayed below the line for the remainder of the day. In such cases, taking short trades is advised. Additional trades are provided as Strength (S) and Pullback (P) signals.
At 1:53, another price action indicator is shown: the Trade Scalper for NinjaTrader 8. This price action scalping indicator plots Long and Short signals based on price patterns. You won’t have to worry about identifying the price patterns yourself – the indicator does this automatically. Your job is to place the trades using the SuperDOM or Chart Trader. We recommend that you preconfigure multiple ATM Strategies so you can use the best one quickly when you’re ready to place a trade.
At the time, the ATR (Average True Range) indicator was indicating that we could go for 3.5 points of profit. Yes, we let the market dictate our risk. This is partially due to the idea that the stop loss must be large enough to absorb inevitable fluctuations. Traders who use stops that are too tight may be stopped out prematurely and such things may be costly if repeated. According to John Paul, the scalping trades shown were worth about two points of profit each.
Did you miss the live trading webinar video? As you know, most traders sit in and watch the signals happen in real-time. So, John Paul goes into the details and answers questions from the audience. Watch the replay below. The webinar, which took place on 22 November 2019, is recent. The presentation begins with a general description of John Paul’s markets.
So, if you missed the live webinar video on Friday morning here is your chance to review the trades taken, the questions and answers are given, and the explanations of the webinar for each trading were over an hour broken down into three parts.
This is provided for Part 1: Order forms, Phantom Orders, Live Market Scalper Orders, Questions, and Responses. While part 2: Phantom orders, Atlas Line Live Trade, Trade Scalper Live Trades, Filtering Trades, Q & A